3632

T2-weighted image radiomics nomogram to predict pancreatic serous and mucinous cystic neoplasms
Xu Fang1, Yun Bian1, Li Wang1, Chengwei Shao1, and Jianping Lu1
1Radiology, Changhai Hospital of Shanghai, Shanghai, China

Synopsis

Keywords: Pancreas, Pancreas

Motivation: Cystic fluid appears hyperintense via T2WI, the most sensitive detection method and T2WI is a conventional sequence. However, distinguishing pancreatic MCNs from SCNs using T2WI is difficult because both neoplasms appear as hyperintense lesions, especially when both are unilocular.

Goal(s): We aimed to develop and validate a T2WI radiomics nomogram for the differentiation of SCNs from MCNs.

Approach: A radiomics model that was included clinical characteristics, MRI characteristics, and T2WI rad-scores for differentiating MCNs from SCN.

Results: We developed and validated a T2WI radiomics nomogram that functions as a non-invasive and convenient tool for preoperatively predicting the presence of SCNs and MCNs.

Impact: The tool has the potential to help clinicians identify patients requiring surveillance or surgery.

Objectives

To develop and validate a T2-weighted image (T2WI) radiomics nomogram for the prediction of pancreatic serous cystic neoplasm (SCN) and mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN).

Methods

In this retrospective study, a total of 304 patients underwent MRI and surgical resection. Radiomics features were extracted from T2WI. A clinical model was constructed with clinical and imaging characteristics. A radiomics model included T2WI radiomics score, clinical and imaging characteristics. A multivariable logistic regression models were developed basing on a training cohort consisting of 159 patients with SCN and 64 patients with MCN between March 2011 and December 2018. The performance of the nomograms was determined by its’ discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. The models were validated in 81 consecutive patients between January 2019 and December 2021, of which 57 and 24 patients had SCN and MCN, respectively.

Results

The sex, pancreatitis, location,tumor size, and tumor shape were selected for inclusion in the clinical model. The clinical model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.90 (95% CI 0.86–0.94) in the training cohort and 0.83 (95% CI 0.72–0.93) in the validation cohort. The sex, pancreatitis, location, tumor size, tumor shape, and T2WI radiomics score were selected for the radiomics model. The radiomics model achieved an AUC of 0.93 (95% CI 0.90–0.96) in the training cohort and 0.87 (95% CI 0.75–0.96) in the validation cohort. The radiomics model outperformed the clinical model. The decision curve analysis demonstrated that the radiomics nomogram was clinically useful.

Conclusions

The T2WI radiomics nomogram can be used as a non-invasive and convenient tool for preoperatively predicting the presence of SCNs and MCNs. The tool has the potential to help clinicians identify patients requiring surveillance or surgery.

Acknowledgements

NONE

References

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Figures

Radiomic feature selection using the parametric, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method.

Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) of the clinical and radiomics nomogram.

The clinical and radiomics nomogram differentiates pancreatic mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN) from pancreatic serous cystic neoplasm (SCN). (E) According to the clinical nomogram, the prediction of MCN is 40% (red arrow) and 40% (blue arrow) for cases 1 and 2, respectively. (F) According to the radiomics nomogram, the prediction of MCN is 70% (red arrow) and 44% (blue arrow) for cases 1 and 2, respectively.

Proc. Intl. Soc. Mag. Reson. Med. 32 (2024)
3632
DOI: https://doi.org/10.58530/2024/3632