Veronica Ravano1,2,3, Michaela Andelova4, Gian Franco Piredda1,5, Stefan Sommer1,6, Samuele Caneschi1, Lucia Roccaro1, Jan Krasenky7, Matej Kudrna7, Tomas Uher4, Ricardo A. Corredor-Jerez1,2,3, Jonathan A. Disselhorst1,2,3, Bénédicte Maréchal1,2,3, Tom Hilbert1,2,3, Jean-Philippe Thiran3, Jonas Richiardi2, Dana Horakova4, Manuela Vaneckova7, and Tobias Kober1,2,3
1Advanced Clinical Imaging Technology, Siemens Healthineers International AG, Lausanne, Geneva and Zurich, Switzerland, 2Department of Radiology, Lausanne University Hospital and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland, 3LTS5, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland, 4Department of Neurology and Center of Clinical Neuroscience, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University and General University of Prague, Prague, Czech Republic, 5CIBM Centre for Biomedical Imaging, Geneva, Switzerland, 6Swiss Centre for Musculoskeletal Imaging (SCMI), Balgrist Campus, Zurich, Switzerland, 7Department of Radiology, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University and General University of Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
Synopsis
Keywords: Data Processing, Reproductive, longitudinal analyses; quantitative biomarkers
Motivation: Estimating longitudinal changes in imaging biomarkers is challenging due to the multiple sources of variation during acquisition that can influence the analysis of MRI data.
Goal(s): To provide a robust estimate of longitudinal changes based on the comparison of cross-sectional imaging biomarkers from different time points.
Approach: We introduce RIMLA, a Reproducibility-Informed Method for Longitudinal Assessment that quantifies longitudinal imaging biomarker changes while accounting for the robustness of the underlying image processing algorithm.
Results: As a first application, we show that RIMLA allows to identify multiple sclerosis lesion subtypes characterized by statistically significant enlargement or shrinkage over time.
Impact: The here introduced Reproducibility-Informed
Method for Longitudinal Assessment (RIMLA) allows to robustly detect small longitudinal
changes in quantitative biomarkers. This increase in sensitivity can lead to better informed clinical decisions,
for example during treatment monitoring or disease progression follow-ups.
Introduction
The extraction of quantitative imaging
biomarkers typically suffers from limited reproducibility due to the multiple
sources of variation characterizing the acquisition of MR images. This affects longitudinal analyses of imaging biomarkers based on pure cross-sectional measurements.
The resulting lack of robustness is a crucial hindrance for the clinical
adoption of automated biomarker extraction tools for individual patient monitoring.
For example, in multiple sclerosis (MS), increasing
interest is being given to the detection of slowly enlarging lesions, whose
presence seems to indicate a continuous disease progression1–3. However, longitudinal volumetric changes in MS lesions are typically
subtle and their detection challenging4.
Here, we propose a Reproducibility-Informed
Method for Longitudinal Assessment (RIMLA) that allows to robustly estimate
longitudinal volumetric changes while accounting for the reproducibility
characteristics of the underlying processing algorithm. As a first example
application, we use RIMLA for a longitudinal lesion monitoring task in an MS cohort. Methods
Study population, MR protocol and pre-processing
Twenty-five MS patients were recruited in a scan-rescan experimental
setup5, where they underwent
four MRI examinations on two different days, in 3T scanners (a pair among a MAGNETOM
Skyra, Prismafit and Verio, all Siemens Healthcare, Erlangen,
Germany). Additionally, 283 MS patients (detailed
demographics in Table 1) were scanned at 3T (MAGNETOM Skyra, Siemens Healthcare,
Erlangen, Germany) every six months for up to four years (relevant
sequence parameters in Table 2).
MS lesions were segmented at all time points with a fully automated white
matter hyperintensities segmentation6,7 AI-Rad Companion
Brain MR software, using both MP-RAGE and FLAIR images as input. The last scan was used as reference for lesion tracking8.
RIMLA
The reproducibility of the lesion segmentation algorithm was first
assessed on the individual lesion level using the scan-rescan dataset. To this
end, we estimated individual lesion volumes across scans and computed the
coefficient of variation (COV) between these measurements for each lesion that
was detected across the four scans with volumes in the range of 3 to 150μL. The average COV ($$$\overline{COV}$$$) estimated across all lesion volumes was retained as a proxy for the reproducibility
of the segmentation.
To model the variability due to changes in the
volumetric estimation of each lesion $$$i$$$, 100 synthetic volume values $$$v'_i(t)$$$ were
generated following a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation
given by each cross-sectional volume measurement $$$v_i(t)$$$, and $$$\overline{COV}*v_i(t)$$$, respectively. Then, for each lesion, the
coefficients of a linear regression model were estimated 100 times using
bootstrapping, by randomly sampling one observation from the generated
synthetic data at each timepoint (Figure 1A) such that:
$$
\hat{v}_i(t)=β_i^0 + β_i^1*t+ε
$$
with $$$β_i^1$$$ representing the estimated lesion
volumetric change over time, $$$β_i^0$$$ the intercept and $$$ε$$$ the residual error.
The median $$$β_i^1$$$ value
across bootstrapping samples represented a
robust measure of lesion volumetric change over time. To identify statistically
significant enlargement and shrinkage over time, an associated bootstrap
p-value was tested against the null hypothesis:
$$
H_0:β_i^1=0.
$$
Lesions whose slope was estimated as positive or
negative in at least 95% of the bootstrapping samples were defined to be
significantly enlarging (shrinking if negative), while the others were labelled
as stable (Figure 1B). Lesions
that were only detected in the last time point were labelled as new.Results
The reproducibility
analysis of the volumetric assessment was performed on 551 lesions detected in
the scan-rescan cohort, and the $$$\overline{COV}$$$ was
found to be 0.17 (median=0.12, IQR=0.16). Figure 2 shows the longitudinal
evolution of enlarging, shrinking and new lesions in an example patient over three
years.
The prevalence of each lesion class did not differ between
relapsing-remitting and progressive patients when compared using the Wilcoxon’s test (new: W=3206, enlarging: W=3316,
shrinking: W=3662, stable: W=4546, all with p>0.05) (see Figure 3). On average, stable lesions were the most
prevalent in MS patients (62.4±24.2%) and lesions classified as new were the
least frequent (10.9±16.6%). Enlarging (12.1±17.7%) and shrinking (14.6±16.8%)
lesions showed a comparable prevalence.Discussion and Conclusion
We introduced RIMLA, a fully automated reproducibility-informed
longitudinal assessment framework that allows to robustly estimate longitudinal
changes of quantitative imaging biomarkers over time, while accounting for the
variability of the underlying processing pipeline. In the present work, we
tested RIMLA in a MS lesion monitoring task, and showed that it allowed to
identify lesion classes with distinct longitudinal phenotypes that are
clinically relevant for predicting disability progression2,3,9.
RIMLA is not restricted to volumetry of MS
lesions, but a general method for providing statistically validated and robust
estimates of longitudinal changes for imaging biomarkers evaluated cross-sectionally.
Future work should thus extend the use of RIMLA to other processing methods and
imaging biomarkers.Acknowledgements
The project has received funding by
Roche (Healthy controls) - clinical trial NTC03706118, Biogen (scan-rescan
dataset) – clinical trial NCT04123353, Czech Ministry of Health project -
grants NU 22-04-00193 and institutional support of the hospital research RVO
VFN 64165, and Czech Ministry of Education- project Cooperation LF1, research
area Neuroscience.
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