Di Cao1, Zhiying Liang1, Kan Deng2, and Siyu Zhu1
1Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China, 2Philips Healthcare, Guangzhou, China
Synopsis
Keywords: Treatment Response, Cancer
Motivation: After curative radiotherapy (RT), there is no commonly accepted method to distinguish between patients with residual disease that may eventually cause disease progression and those who are already cured of the disease in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).
Goal(s): We proposed a four-category MRI-based lymph node regression (MRI-LRG) grading system to investigate its prognostic value for NPC after RT.
Approach: 387 NPC patients were included in this retrospective study. Lymph node regression grade was assessed on MRI based on the areal analysis of RT-induced fibrosis and the residual tumor.
Results: Our results showed that MRI-based LRG was an independent prognostic factor for progression-free survival.
Impact: A nomogram, based on LRG-sum, pretreatment EBV DNA,
post-RT EBV DNA, sex and N stage factors, was proved to be useful to facilitate
risk stratification in NPC. This approach might help to stratify treatment
modalities and develop a more effective tailored surveillance program in
patients with NPC.
Introduction
Radiotherapy (RT) is the primary treatment
for patients with early-stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), and combined
chemotherapy is generally considered for patients with advanced-stage disease (1-3). After curative RT, there is no commonly accepted method to distinguish between patients with residual disease that
may eventually cause disease progression and those who are already cured of the
disease. High-resolution MRI is recommended for LN response assessment after RT
(4, 5), however, the relevance of MRI-based LN regression grade (LRG) after RT
in predicting clinical outcomes has not been investigated in NPC. This study proposed a four-category MRI-based LRG system and
developed a risk model based on MRI-based LRG for stratification of patients
with NPC after RT. Patients and Methods
There were 387 newly diagnosed patients with non-distant
metastatic NPC from January 2010 to January 2013 included in this retrospective
study. Lymph node regression grade (LRG) was assessed on MRI independently by
two radiologists. LRG was evaluated 3–4 months after RT on T2-weighted images
(T2WI) according to the following criteria: RT-induced LN fibrosis and the
residual tumor were outlined on the T2WI using Photoshop software (Adobe Inc.
USA). Zones with intermediate or high T2WI signals were considered residual
tumors. In contrast, areas with low T2WI signals were considered fibrosis(6). The proportion of residual
tumors was assessed as follows: tumor area/(tumor area + fibrosis area) × 100%.
Based on our hypothesis, a four-category MRI-LRG system was proposed for the
non-invasive assessment of LN response to RT according to previous studies (7). The MRI-LRG categories were defined as
follows: MRI-LRG 0 (good response), absence of residual tumor or tumor
disappeared entirely; MRI-LRG 1 (moderate response), residual tumor accounts
for ≤ 25%; MRI-LRG 2 (minimal response), residual tumor accounts for 25–50%;
MRI-LRG 3 (poor response), residual tumor accounts for > 50% (Figure. 1). All
radiologically suspected LNs before treatment were assessed, and each LN was
scored from 0 to 3 for regression degree according to the MRI-LRG system. Owing
to the variability of LN responses observed in patients, the sum score of the
MRI-LRG of each counted LN was calculated as the final LRG score (LRG-sum) to
assess the LN response for each patient. Univariate analysis was performed to
identify significant prognostic factors associated with progression-free
survival (PFS). The prognostic factors with p values < 0.05 in the
univariate analysis were incorporated into the multivariate Cox regression
models to further calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with
95% confidence intervals (CIs) and adjusted p values. The final Cox regression
model was developed using a stepwise approach and visualized using a nomogram.
Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared using
the log-rank test. Statistical tests were conducted using the R package
(version 4.0.1). Statistical significance was defined as a two-sided p value
< 0.05.Results
LRG-sum ≤ 9 and > 9 showed poorer 5-year
PFS than LRG-sum ≤ 2 (66.1, 42.9, and 77.6%, respectively, p < 0.001, Tabel
1). The MRI-LRG scores sum (LRG-sum) was an independent prognostic factor for
progression-free survival (PFS) (HR, 2.50; 95% CI 1.28–4.90, Tabel 2). Stepwise
Cox regression model identified five risk factors of disease progression in NPC
patients: LRG-sum, pretreatment EBV DNA, post-RT EBV DNA, sex and N stage (Tabel
2). A nomogram that based on the multivariate Cox regression model was shown in
Figure 2A. Patients with 5-year PFS were divided into
two subgroups: a low-risk group (total score ≤63.8) and a high-risk group
(total score >63.8), corresponding 5-year PFS rates were 83.8% and 55.7%,
respectively (Figure 2B). Furthermore, nomogram model A incorporating LRG had a
higher C-index for PFS prediction than the model without LRG (Table 3).Conclusion
MRI-based LRG was an independent prognostic
factor for PFS. A nomogram, based on LRG-sum, pretreatment EBV DNA, post-RT EBV
DNA, sex and N stage factors, was proved to be useful to facilitate risk
stratification in NPC. This approach might help to stratify treatment
modalities and develop a more effective tailored surveillance program in
patients with NPC. Acknowledgements
No acknowledgement found.References
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