Keywords: Osteoarthritis, Machine Learning/Artificial Intelligence
MRI-based statistical shape models can predict future disease and distinguish between patient groups. However, these models require thousands of matching points between bones which may introduce biases and their strictly linearly orthogonal features is a limitation. This study built continuous 3D shape representations of the femur using neural implicit representations and used the learned latent space to predict knee pain. The neural shape model can generate arbitrarily high resolution surfaces and predict pain with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.7 and sensitivity of 0.89, metrics comparable to deep learning methods trained on orders of magnitude more data.
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Figure 1. For training, each mesh was scaled to a unit sphere by mean centering and scaling by the max radial distance, then 500,000 points and their SDF values were sampled. (A) Shows a mesh and half its points colored by their signed distance. The network predicts signed distances. Meshes can be reconstructed from SDF = 0 points. The loss optimized learned latent vectors and promoted independent features by learning a diagonal covariance matrix (B). (C) The learned mean shape (0-vector) is representative of the dataset. (D) The learned latent space enables smooth interpolation.
Figure 2. Neural shape model predictions of pain. Left: Testing data violin and boxplots of the distributions of AUROCs for the 100 repeatedly trained prediction models. In the n=111 (100% data) case, the data used to fit the models did not change between the 100 iterations, as a result the fitted naïve bayes and logistic regression predictions are singular flat lines on the graph. Right: The receiver operating characteristic curve for predictions using 100% (n=111) of the training data random forest and gradient boosting models with AUROC equal to the mean performance were selected.
Figure 3. Visualization of the trajectory of increasing pain learned using logistic regression and the neural shape model. From left to right, shape is interpolated along a vector defined by the logistic regression coefficients. The left most bone represents no pain, with increasing probability of being painful as morphing to the right. Notable features learned from the model are broadening of the lateral trochlea and medial femoral condyle, generation of trochlear osteophytes (blue arrows), and narrowing of the intercondylar notch (green arrow).
Table 2. Mean AUROC/Sensitivity/Specificity for each model type and training dataset size. The best model for each datatype, assessed using AUROC is bolded; in the case of a tie, all models are bolded.