Huijie Jiang1, Xue Lin1, Sheng Zhao1, and Hongbo Hu1
1Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
Synopsis
Radiomics features were extracted through
MRI images and different prediction models (clinical model, logistic regression [LR], random forest [RF], support vector machine [SVM], clinical-LR
model, clinical-RF model, and clinical-SVM model) for extramural venous
invasion (EMVI) were constructed on
the basis of radiomics features and clinical factors, respectively. The optimal
model, which had the best predictive efficiency, was screened
out for predicting the EMVI status of rectal adenocarcinoma patients.
Introduction
Extramural venous
invasion (EMVI) is defined as the appearance of tumor cells in the veins beyond
the muscularis propria. EMVI status plays a vital role in the preoperative
evaluation and is an independent prognostic factor of rectal cancer [1, 2]. It
is relevant with local recurrence, distant metastases, and overall survival
time reduction [3-5]. An accurate assessment of EMVI status is of great
clinical significance for making decisions and improving the prognosis of
patients.Methods
Two
hundred and twelve rectal adenocarcinoma patients from
September 2012 to July 2019 were included and distributed to training and
validation datasets. Radiomics features were extracted from pretreatment T2-weighted
images. Different prediction models (clinical model,
logistic regression [LR], random forest [RF], support vector machine [SVM], clinical-LR model,
clinical-RF model, and clinical-SVM model) on the basis of radiomics features and clinical
factors were constructed, respectively. The area under the
curve (AUC) and accuracy were used to assess the predictive efficacy of
different models. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV),
and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated, too.Results
The clinical-LR model exhibited the best diagnostic
efficiency with AUC of 0.962 (95% CI 0.936–0.988) and 0.865 (95%
CI 0.770–0.959), accuracy of 0.899 and 0.828, sensitivity of 0.867
and 0.818, specificity of 0.913 and 0.833, PPV of 0.813
and 0.720, and NPV of
0.940 and 0.897 for the training and validation datasets,
respectively.Discussion
EMVI status is an
important prognostic factor of rectal adenocarcinoma. In this study, we constructed different prediction
models and screened out the optimal model, which had the best performance in
predicting the EMVI status. The optimal model was a multi-scale comprehensive
model, and the diagnostic efficiency was good both in the training and
validation datasets. As a noninvasive evaluation tool, this prediction model
may provide support in clinical risk stratification.Conclusion
The radiomics-based prediction model is a valuable
tool in EMVI detection and can assist decision making in clinical practice.Acknowledgements
No acknowledgement found.References
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