Tamar van Asch1, Nathan De Jong1, Walter Backes1, Sebastian Köhler 2, Martin van Boxtel2, Miranda Schram3, and Jacobus Jansen1
1Radiology, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, Netherlands, 2Psychiatrie & Neuropsychologie, School for Mental Health and Neuroscience, Maastricht, Netherlands, 3Internal Medicine, Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands
Synopsis
There is a growing need for the understanding of the process of ageing and the ability to predict who is at risk of neurodegenerative diseases and mortality. This study aims to develop and train a convolutional neural network on structural brain connectivity data to predict age. dMRI is used to map the structural connectivity of the brain. The dataset comprises 3494 subjects from The Maastricht Study, a cohort study of individuals aged between 40 and 77 years. Brain age prediction on the test set resulted in a Pearson’s correlation coefficient of 0.70 and a mean absolute error of 5.1 years.
Introduction
There is a growing need to understand the ageing process, particularly
as it relates to the brain and cognition. An individual’s brain health is often
assessed by a biomarker called brain age. A large difference between one’s
chronological age and brain age is an indicator of accelerated or decelerated
ageing. 1 Consequently, the development of accurate brain age prediction models
could lead to an early detection tool for better prediction of who is at risk
of accelerated ageing and mortality due to neurodegenerative diseases such as
Alzheimer’s disease.2 Also, brain age research can provide understanding of the positive
effects of health characteristics and life experiences on brain ageing 6
such as physical exercise, years of education and practicing meditation. 3–5
Brain age is typically estimated from structural MRI, based on gray
matter volumes, using deep learning networks.6 This approach is effective; however age-related variations in
structural and functional brain connectivity networks may contain additional
information about ageing. These networks have been linked to both ageing and
cognitive performance7, and can be derived from diffusion weighted (dMRI) and functional MR
imaging (fMRI), respectively. The brain network can be represented by
brain regions and their corresponding connections.8 These connections form highly complex 3D networks, which can be
represented by a compact 2D matrix called a connectivity matrix (Figure 1).
This complex data is difficult to assess in order to obtain neurobiologically
meaningful measures, however explainable deep learning methods seek to identify
the information that is most relevant to the predicted age.
The goal of this research is to gain a better understanding of the
ageing process, and the role of connectivity networks in ageing. To do this, we
develop and train a convolutional neural network to predict brain age from
MR-derived brain connectivity data. We then examine the model using explainable
deep learning methods to identify brain connectivity properties which are most
predictive of age.Methodology
Data were used from The Maastricht Study, an observational, prospective,
population-based cohort study with extensive phenotyping of participants aged
40-77 years, enriched for type-2 diabetes. Cognitive test scores and 3T MRI
(structural, d-MRI, and rs-fMRI) were available for n=4120 cognitively healthy
participants (46.9% male, 17% with T2DM). Exclusion criteria were cognitive
impairment (MMSE score <24 or >1.5SD below mean cognitive performance in
memory, information processing speed and executive function) and high burden of
cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD score >2), derived from white matter
hyperintensity (WMH) load, presence of cerebral microbleeds and lacunar
infarcts.
Images were registered and segmented into 94 regions using the automatic
anatomical labelling 2 (AAL2) atlas. Tractography and derivation of the
connectome from MRI was performed using the diffusion MR Toolbox ExploreDTI
version 4.8.6 and Brain Connectivity Toolbox in MATLAB Release 2016a. The edge
weights of the connectome were derived from the tract volume and functional
correlation between each region.8
The resulting connectivity matrices cannot be processed using a typical
convolutional neural network (CNN), as regular convolution would undermine the
topology of the matrix, because surrounding elements in the matrix are not per
definition in close proximity in the brain. Therefore, a unique CNN architecture10 which preserved the topology of the connectivity matrix (Figure 2) was
implemented to predict each individual’s brain age from their connectivity
matrices.
The CNN learns which elements in the connectivity matrix are important
for the prediction of age. In order to extract these elements, two explainable
deep learning methods are implemented: sensitivity analysis and Integrated
Gradients9,10,
which map the attribution of each connection to the prediction score of age.
This is visualized in an attribution map (Figure 3).Results
Evaluation on an independent test set showed that the network could
predict age with a mean absolute error of 5.1 years. The correlation between
the chronological age and the predicted age was 0.70. The MAE is comparable
with Chen et al.11, to our knowledge the only other report on brain age prediction using
deep learning on dMRI derived features.
The attribution map resulting from the explainable
deep learning methods is shown from an axial (left) and coronal (right) point
of view in Figures 3. Connections in the superior and medial frontal lobe have
a large contribution to the prediction score.Discussion and Conclusion
The Last-in-last-out hypothesis suggests that ageing in the brain
reverses the sequence of development.12 The hypothesis
suggests that tracts that are developed last are more vulnerable to injury and
decline in later life. White matter tracts that are relatively late to mature
connect brain regions within one hemisphere, and are especially important for
higher cognitive functions.13 Our results support findings of significant age-induced changes in the
prefrontal cortex.12 The MFG was
also found to contribute to the prediction of age in previous research.1
Within the current study the feasibility of training on brain network
connectivity data has been demonstrated, including a method to explain the
input features that are contributing the most to the output score. This study
could be further expanded to explore network differences associated with
different neurodegenerative diseases, or identify modifiable risk factors which
decelerate ageing and reduce dementia risk.Acknowledgements
No acknowledgement found.References
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