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The nomogram of MRI-based radiomics with complementary visual features by machine learning improves stratification of glioblastoma patients
ZHENYU SHU1, YUYUN XU1, and YONG ZHANG2
1Zhejiang Provincial People’s Hospital, Hangzhou, China, 2MR Research, GE healthcare (China), SHANG HAI, China

Synopsis

This preliminary study explored the application of radiomics MRI in overall survival(OS) of glioblastoma patients. We found that EPI, age, and radiomic signature are independent predictors of OS for glioblastoma patients. The nomogram was created by integrating the three independent predictors, had the best performance when stratifying glioblastoma patients into long- versus short-term survival, which could help clinicians develop optimal treatment plans.

Synopsis

This preliminary study explored the application of radiomics MRI in overall survival(OS) of glioblastoma patients.In addition, the independent predictors of OS was analyzed, and a prediction radiomics nomogram based on independent predictors was constructed. We found that EPI, age, and radiomic signature are independent predictors of OS for glioblastoma patients. The nomogram was created by integrating the three independent predictors, had the best performance when stratifying glioblastoma patients into long- versus short-term survival, which could help clinicians develop optimal treatment plans.

Purpose

Radiomics was performed for preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies of glioblastoma (GBM) patients to determine the prognosis of GBM patients and proved to be robust. Ependymal and/or pia mater involvement (EPI) was considered to affect overall survival (OS). However, radiomics employed for an automatic or manually segmented tumor could not reflect EPI involvement. Whether a prediction model based on a combination of radiomics and EPI can better predict OS has not yet been studied. The purpose of this study was construct a radiomics nomogram to stratify GBM patients into long- versus short-term survival by machine learning using multiparametric MRI-based radiomic features and specific visual features as EPI.

Methods

Patient data from BRATS2018 and local hospital were retrospectively analyzed. All images were assessed for EPI and multifocality. All tumor tissues were fully automatically segmented from multiparametric MRI and classified into three subregions to calculate the radiomic features. The most powerful radiomic features were selected to constitute radiomic signature. Then, the prediction models featuring independent predictors were created using machine-learning methods to select the optimal model, and a nomogram was built to stratify GBM patients into the long- or short-term OS groups.

Results

The nomogram had a survival prediction accuracy of 0.878 and 0.875, a specificity of 0.875 and 0.583, and a sensitivity of 0.704 and 0.833, respectively, in the training and test set (Fig. 1). The ROC curve showed the accuracy of the nomogram, radiomic signature, age, and EPI for external validation set were 0.858, 0.826, 0.664and 0.66 in the validate set, respectively (Fig. 2).

Discussion and Conclusion

This study demonstrates that in a radiomics nomogram integrated with a radiomic signature, complementary visual features such as EPI and age were found to be robust for the stratification of GBM patients into long- versus short-term survival and would be pragmatic in clinic practice.

Acknowledgements

None

References

[1] Bakas S, Akbari H, Sotiras A, Bilello M, Rozycki M, Kirby JS, et al. Advancing The Cancer Genome Atlas glioma MRI collections with expert segmentation labels and radiomic features. Sci Data. (2017) 4:170117.

[2] Bakas S., Reyes M., Jakab A., Bauer S., Rempfler M., Crimi A., et al. Identifying the best machine learning algorithms for brain tumor segmentation, progression assessment, and overall survival prediction in the BRATS challenge. (2018 )arXiv:1811.02629v1

Figures

(A) and (B) show the ROC curves of the nomograms in the training and test sets; (C) and (D) show the calibration curves of the nomograms in the training and test sets; and (E) and (F) show the DCA curve of the nomograms in the training and test sets.

(A)ROC curves for nomogram, radiomic signature, age and meninges predicting OS in validation set. (B) The stratification performance of the nomogram in validation set.

Proc. Intl. Soc. Mag. Reson. Med. 29 (2021)
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