We show that a simple machine learning algorithm validated most, but not all, aspects of the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) version 2 formalism derived exclusively from clinical perspectives. Specifically, the value of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) sequences in the peripheral zone was confirmed. In contradistinction to PI-RADS, DWI was found to be more valuable in the transition zone than T2 weighted imaging; however, a T2 texture feature afforded a small but significant increase in classifier accuracy in this zone.
Prostate cancer is the second most common cancer affecting men worldwide1 and has a significant socioeconomic impact2,3. Multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging (mp-MRI) is increasingly utilized for detection and staging of prostate cancer4,5. The mp-MRI examination typically includes T2-weighted (T2w), high b-value diffusion weighted imaging (DWI), an apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) map and dynamic contrast enhanced (DCE) sequences. Interpretation of these examinations requires considerable expertise and is subject to inter-observer variability6,7. For this reason, the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) version 2, an international consensus document, was created to guide radiologists’ interpretation and reporting of prostate mp-MRI8. Machine learning (ML) applied to computer assisted diagnostic development in prostate exams has rapidly progressed to the point of inevitability9-11. This prompts two questions: Do ML algorithms agree with the PI-RADS ranking of relevant contrasts, and what quantitative value is provided by giving contrast agents in prostate exams?
We hypothesized that ML would independently rank the value of the contrasts similar to PI-RADS, thus providing independent validation of the choices made in the paradigm.
Fifteen subjects referred for clinically indicated mp-MRI who subsequently underwent radical prostatectomy were prospectively recruited. Subjects were scanned on a 3T MR750 (General Electric Healthcare, Milwaukee, WI, USA) with a 32 channel phased array receive coil (Invivo Corp, Gainesville, FL, USA) and no endorectal coil. Axial T2w, DWI, and DCE sequences were acquired through the prostate as per institutional protocol. The ADC and Ktrans maps were created with the vendor’s software.
Radiology - Pathology Correlation
Prostatectomy specimens were grossed and the corresponding slides annotated by one of two genitourinary pathologists (JM or CW) who were blinded to the MRI data. Annotated slides outlining the tumour were scanned and digitally reconstructed to create pseudo-wholemount specimens. A fellowship trained abdominal radiologist (SC) correlated the histopathological sections with the MR images and manually delineated the tumour margins on either T2w or ADC maps, according to PIRADS 2.
Model Development and Validation
A logistic regression (LR) model was used for this analysis because it is a low-variance model suitable for small training sets; learning curves were examined to verify that our dataset was sufficiently large for a stable model fit (Figure 1), and LR is an interpretable model that allows for the relative importance of different contrasts (or features) to be determined. The set of features used was ADC, T2w, T2 spatial standard deviation (T2std) as a simple measure of texture, and Ktrans.
Model performance was evaluated using leave-one-subject-out cross validation and the fitted model was evaluated using the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC). Precision and recall are also known as positive predictive value and sensitivity, respectively. AUPRC is more sensitive than area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) to improvements in model performance when AUROC is high (> 0.8) and class imbalance is large12. The importance of individual contrasts was determined by computing the change in AUPRC when that contrast was left out of the model. The Wilcoxon signed rank test was used to evaluate the significance of the change in AUPRC caused by leaving out a contrast.
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