The objective of this study was to develop a robust automated lesion change detection algorithm for MS. Our preliminary results in 30 patients show that our SDC algorithm achieves much higher sensitivity and specificity (99%/76%) compared to that obtained with off-the-shelf LPA algorithm (76%/27%).
Lesion detection algorithm. Given two images I1 and I2, the signal change d=I2-I1 at voxel i is assumed to have Gaussian noise with mean µ and standard deviation σ, and SDC is formulated as a composite hypothesis test between two hypotheses: H0 ~ N(0,σ2) and H1 ~ N(µ,σ2), where N is the normal distribution and µ≠0 is unknown mean. σ can be estimated from the brain WM mask extracted from T1-weighted image with exclusion of large lesions (Fig.1). Assuming µ>0 (positive change), the test statistic can be derived from the log-likelihood ratio test: ti = $$$\sum_{j=1}^N$$$ dij where N is the number of observations at voxel i. The test statistic is then compared with a threshold γ chosen to control the probability of false positives: PFP = P(t ≥ γ | H0). This test provides the best detection power for a given PFP regardless of the unknown µ (uniformly most powerful detector) (5).
Since only one observation di is available per voxel, we propose to compute the test statistic ti = max(tk,k $$$\in$$$ Ti) where Ti denotes a 3-neighborhood system of voxel i (Fig.2) purposely chosen to match the currently accepted minimum lesion size requirement of 3 mm (3 voxels in 1 mm isotropic images) (6). Intuitively, this test statistic encodes in probabilistic terms the expectation that a bright voxel on the subtraction image is more likely considered “changed” if at least two of its neighbor voxels also have relatively high signals.
MRI experiments. Thirty MS patients underwent 3T MRI twice (interval 267±104 days, range 15-410 days). FLAIR images were automatically co-registered in the halfway space (7). The test statistic for FLAIR subtraction image was computed and thresholded to generate the change mask (Fig.1). A false positive rate PFP of 0.0001 was chosen to achieve high lesion sensitivity, which means that about 50/500,000 WM voxels may be incorrectly labeled as “changed”. To reduce the number of false positives, constraints were imposed on lesion size (≥3 voxels), location (lesions within 2 voxels of CSF border has to be connected to a lesion outside), and intensity on 2nd FLAIR (>2 standard deviations above mean).
For comparison, LPA (http:// www.applied-statistics.de) (8) was used to compute the lesion masks for FLAIR images with mask subtraction as a change mask. Lesion changes less than 3 voxels were excluded.
Statistical analysis. A neuroradiologist reviewed FLAIR and subtraction images with overlaid color boxes encompassing the detected lesion changes (Fig.3). These were labeled as “true positive” or “false positive”. The reader also reviewed the images outside of these boxes to count the number of missed lesion changes (“false negative”) and unchanged lesions (“true negative”).
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