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Baseline mrEMVI as an independent prognostic factor for locally advanced rectal cancer with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: recommendations for risk stratification
XIAO-YAN ZHANG 1, SHUAI WANG1, XIAO-TING LI1, YING-PING WANG2, YAN-JIE SHI1, LIN WANG3, AI-WEN WU2, and YING-SHI SUN1

1Radiology, Key laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Department of Radiology, Peking University Cancer Hospital & Institute, BEIJING, China, 2Key laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Department of Radiology, Peking University Cancer Hospital & Institute, BEIJING, China, 3Radiology, Key laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Department of Radiology, Peking University Cancer Hospital & Institute, BEIJING, Christmas Island

Synopsis

Extramural venous invasion status is a potential prognostic factor for identifying rectal cancer patients with a high risk of distant metastasis or local recurrence. It is currently unclear what impact extramural venous invasion status as defined by magnetic resonance imaging before neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (pre-NCRT mrEMVI) has on survival outcomes in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. Moreover, the incorporation of baseline mrEMVI into risk stratification is poorly understood.This study has demonstrated that pre-NCRT mrEMVI status can be reliably evaluated and can serve as an independent prognostic factor for distant and local recurrence and overall survival in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. We have provided important evidence that pre-NCRT mrEMVI status should be considered for managing risk stratification in baseline locally advanced rectal cancer. Finally, we recommend that mrEMVI evaluation be included in routine pre-NCRT MR reports to support an individualized treatment strategy, considering positive pre-NCRT mrEMVI may serve as an indicator for neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Purpose

Extramural venous invasion(EMVI) is found exclusively in locally advanced tumors, and has been shown to be associated with higher rates of recurrence and death in rectal tumor. The importance of mrEMVI evaluation has been gradually recognized. However, the role of mrEMVI as an independent prognostic factor remains controversial. There have been no reports on the prognostic impact of pre-NCRT mrEMVI status in rectal cancer patients, and it is still unknown how mrEMVI-defined risk stratification can be used to identify patients with different survival outcomes. This study sought to define the potential role of pre-NCRT mrEMVI status (including location, vascular number and size, and cause of vascular involvement) in predicting the recurrence and survival of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. In addition, the study aimed to define the risk stratification for locally advanced rectal cancer patients according to pre-NCRT predictors.

Methods

This retrospective study collected patients from the prospective database of Peking University Cancer Hospital for rectal cancer. All patients had locally advanced disease as determined by pre-treatment MRI (T3-4Nx and T1-2N+) and completed neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by TME.Pre-NCRT and post-NCRT MR images were available for all patients.A total of 517 patients were identified. (Fig 1)An experienced radiologist measured the features on the MRI, including the distance from the inferior part of the tumour to the anal verge (DTA), mesorectal fascia (MRF), tumour stages(mrT stages), lymph node metastasis(mrLN status), tumour location (TL) and tumour involvement in the intestinal lumen (TIL) , on pre-NCRT images of all patients. mrEMVI evaluation was conducted using the 5-score grading system. Firstly, two readers were independently trained for mrEMVI evaluation by using post-NCRT images in half of cases where pEMVI evaluation could be obtained. Secondly, their mrEMVI evaluation were test by using the rest half of cases to make sure their mrEMVI assessments were acceptable (a consistency rate of ≥80% compared with pathology). Thirdly, they independently evaluated pre-NCRT mrEMVI status for all enrolled patients. The number of involved blood vessels(EMVIvasno), the diameter of the involved blood vessel(EMVIdiameter),the location of involved blood vessel(EMVIlocation) and the cause of vascular involvement(EMVIcause) were also measured by two independent readers. Two pathologists independently extract pEMVI status from pathological report. The pEMVI status was recorded as presence, absence and unclear. Finally, we identified 388 patients whose pEMVI status was available, 212 were pEMVI positive, and 176 were pEMVI negative.This analysis aimed to explore the prognostic effect of pre-NCRT mrEMVI evaluation on survival outcomes (as defined by DMFS, LRFS and OS). The chi-square test was used to test the association between mrEMVI status and pre-NCRT MRI features and pathological characteristics. Kaplan-Meier estimates with the univariate log-rank test were used to detect significant prognostic factors and yielded survival curves. The step-wise Cox proportional hazard model was used for multivariate analysis by selecting independent prognostic factors for survival outcomes from all pre-NCRT MRI features and to acquire the adjusted hazard ratios(HR).

Results

Multivariate Cox analysis showed that pre-NCRT positive mrEMVI and mesorectal fascia(MRF) were independent risk factors for distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and overall survival (OS), and mrEMVI(+) was the only independent risk factor for local relapse-free survival (LRFS) (Fig 2). However, pre-NCRT mrEMVI(+) patients who achieved post-NCRT mrEMVI(-) had similar survival to patients who didn’t. EMVI(+)MRF(+) patients had a significantly higher risk of distant metastasis than did EMVI(-)MRF(+) and EMVI(-)MRF(-) patients, and had a significantly higher risk of death than did EMVI(-)MRF(-) patients. (Fig 3). EMVIlocation was the only independent risk factor for DMFS, but it didn’t provide clue for metastasis site.

Conclusion

This was a well-designed retrospective study, and eligible cases were consecutively retrieved from a prospective database. This study has demonstrated that pre-NCRT mrEMVI status can be reliably evaluated and can serve as an independent prognostic factor for distant and local recurrence and overall survival in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. We have provided important evidence that pre-NCRT mrEMVI status should be considered for managing risk stratification in baseline locally advanced rectal cancer. Finally, we recommend that mrEMVI evaluation be included in routine pre-NCRT MR reports to support an individualized treatment strategy, considering positive pre-NCRT mrEMVI may serve as an indicator for neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Acknowledgements

No acknowledgement found.

References

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Figures

Figure 1. Flow chart for patient inclusion

Figure 2. Kaplan-Meier curves for the association between pre-NCRT MR parameters and DMFS, OS and LRFS. a. mrEMVI according to DMFS; b. mrEMVI according to OS; c. mrEMVI according to LRFS; d. MRF according to DMFS; e. MRF according to OS; f. mrT-stages according to DMFS; g. mrT-stages according to OS; h. EMVIlocation according to DMFS; i. EMVIvasno according to DMFS; j. post-NCRT mrEMVI according to DMFS; k. post-NCRT mrEMVI according to OS; l. post-NCRT mrEMVI according to LRFS.

Figure 3. Risk curves for stratified groups according to mrEMVI and MRF for a. DMFS; b. OS; c. LRFS.

Proc. Intl. Soc. Mag. Reson. Med. 26 (2018)
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