Owing to overlapping symptomatology, differentiating between late-life depression (LLD) and Alzheimer’s Disease (AD), is clinically challenging. Amyloid PET may be used to improve AD diagnosis, however it is expensive and not widely available. Here we apply a two-step MRI driven approach exploiting the different degree of hippocampal volume loss that is present in both disorders to derive hippocampal volume thresholds for identifying patients who could be diagnosed without a PET exam. Using the more cost-effective hippocampal volumetry approach, we could correctly classify half of the patient sample. This increased to 90% when adding 18F-flutametamol PET for the remaining patients.
Data: Following QA, 18F-Flutametamol PET3 and 3 Tesla 3D T1-weighted MRI data (voxel size: 0.9 mm x 0.9 mm x 1.2mm) for 68 patients were included: n=41 with LLD (mean age=72.3 yrs), and n=27 with AD (mean age = 69.6 yrs). Total normalised hippocampal volume* (*from hereon ‘hippocampal volume’) was obtained by summing left and right manually segmented hippocampi following the Harmonized (HarP) protocol4 and normalisation using total cerebral volume5 (obtained by summing grey matter and white matter tissue segmentations from SPM126). Following data quality assurance and corrective pre-processing (e.g. attenuation, scatter, motion etc.) standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) images were calculated from an MRI-based normalized PET summed image using cerebellar grey matter as reference region. Amyloid load (SUVRcomp) was calculated by averaging the SUVR in five bilateral volumes of interest (lateral frontal, parietal, and temporal cortex and anterior and posterior cingulate cortex) derived from the AAL atlas7.
Single Model: Logistic regression with hippocampal volume and amyloid load (SUVRcomp) as predictors. Sequential Model: Step 1: Logistic regression using (total normalised) hippocampal) to predict AD diagnosis. Identification of cut-off hippocampal volume for 85% probability to classify AD and LLD patients correctly. Step 2: In patients unclassified based on hippocampal volume (Step 1), we used logistic regression using amyloid load (SUVRcomp) and hippocampal volume to predict AD diagnosis.
Single Model: Both hippocampal volume (Wald χ2 = 6.46: p= 0.011) and amyloid load (Wald χ2 =11.03 : p=0.0009 ) were significant predictors of diagnosis, with decreasing hippocampal volume increasing the probability of having AD, and higher amyloid load, increasing the probability of having AD. The sensitivity to detect AD was 0.93 and the specificity was 0.93. Two subjects with AD were incorrectly classified as having AD whereas 3 subjects with LLD were incorrectly classified as having AD. In total 93 % patients were correctly classified.
Sequential model: Step 1: hippocampal volume alone was a significant predictor of diagnosis (Wald χ2 =18.40 p<0.0001). A lower threshold of 4983 mm3 and higher threshold of 6393 mm3 could be used to classify 51% of patients as having AD or LLD respectively with a probability of 0.85 (figure 1). Step 2: In the remaining 49% of patients (n=33), amyloid load was a significant predictor of diagnosis (Wald χ2 = 9.7254 p =0.0018). Based on this model, subjects with an SUVRcomp below 1.45 could be classified as having LLD with a probability of 0.85. The sensitivity to detect AD was 0.93 and the specificity was 0.88. Two subjects with AD were incorrectly classified as having LLD, and 5 subjects with LLD were incorrectly classified as having AD (figure 2). In total, 90 % of the patients were correctly classified.
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