Dominic Carlin1,2, Veronica A Morgan1,2, Chris Parker1,3, and Nandita M deSouza1,2
1CRUK Imaging Centre, Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom, 2MRI Unit, The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, Sutton, United Kingdom, 3Urology Department, The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, Sutton, United Kingdom, Sutton, United Kingdom
Synopsis
Tumor growth kinetics of low-risk prostate cancer in 15 men managed
by active surveillance with size increase on repeat MRI were correlated with
ADC histogram metrics. Measurements were made over 3 time-points at least 1
year apart (mean 3.6 ± 0.95 years). Median
growth was 23.1% in the first interval and 49.8% in the second. ADC reduced over
time. Accelerated growth during the second time interval correlated with the increase
in interquartile range (r=0.6, p=0.02) and shift to more positive skew
(r=-0.56, p=0.03) seen during the first time interval, suggesting that
increasing heterogeneity and reducing ADC may signal accelerated growth.
Background
In
men with low-risk prostate cancer managed by active surveillance, ADC metrics
have been used to distinguish tumors that progress histologically from those
who do not1. Numerous studies also
link ADC to tumour grade2. However, shifting ADC metrics have not
directly been linked to tumor growth.
The purpose of this study was to establish this relationship in order to
develop ADC histogram metrics as a biomarker for disease progression.Methods
15 men on active surveillance (aged 54-77 years,
mean 68.5 ± 7.9 years) with evidence of increasing tumour volume on
T2W+diffusion-weighted MRI over a minimum of 3 scans done at least 1 year apart
and therefore who progressed to treatment were retrospectively identified from
men imaged over a 6-year period. All had
MRI at 3T (Philips Achieva) with T2-W scans in 3 orthogonal planes (FSE,
TR=2500msec, TE=90 msec) plus ZOOM (Zonal Oblique Multislice)
diffusion-weighted imaging (b=0, 100, 300, 500, 800 s/mm2) in a
transverse plane to match the T2-W images.
Regions of interest (ROIs) were drawn around tumor by a single
experienced radiologist on the ADC maps. The most recent images were viewed
first, followed by those from earlier time points (TPs) to ensure measurement
of the same lesion. ADC metrics (mean,
centiles, interquartile range [IQR], skew and kurtosis) were derived for
individual tumors at each TP using a monoexponential fit to the data. Baseline ADC
metrics and percentage change in ADC metrics during the first time interval were
correlated with the tumor growth rate (percentage volume increase per annum)
during the second time interval to establish whether changes in ADC
distribution could predict subsequent tumor growth.Results
12 patients had 3 scans and 3 had 4 scans
over a 3.6 ± 0.95 year interval. PSAs
were 7.7 ± 3.4 ng/mL at TP1 increasing to 8.6 ± 3.2 ng/mL at TP2 and 9.3 ±
4.7 ng/mL at TP3. Tumor volumes were 0.02-0.96 cm3 at TP1, 0.03-1.44 cm3
at TP2 and 0.10-3.15 cm3 at TP3 (Figure 1). The median percentage change in volume
between TP1 and 2 was 30.7% (LQ 14.6%, UQ 121.3%) and between TP2-TP3 was 90.6%
(LQ 64.5%, UQ 149.5%). Median tumor
growth rates were 23.1% at the first time interval (LQ 7.7%, UQ 70.3%) and
49.8% (LQ 38.5, UQ 104.6%) at the second time interval, indicating accelerated
growth during the latter.
Absolute values of mean, median, 25th, 75th
centiles, IQR, skew and kurtosis are given in Table 1 and their
corresponding percentage changes at each time interval in Table 2. No correlations were seen between any ADC
metric and growth rate during the first time interval. During the second time
interval, ADC mean, median, 25th and 75th centiles
correlated negatively with tumor growth rate (r=-0.83, -0.84, -0.83, -0.82 for
mean, median 25th and 75th centiles respectively,
p<0.01). Additionally, there was a significant positive correlation between
change in IQR (r=0.6, p=0.02) during the first time interval and tumor growth
rate during the second time interval. There was also a weak but significant
negative correlation with skewness (increase of lower ADC values, r=-0.56,
p=0.03) during the first time interval and tumor growth rate during the second
time interval.Discussion and Conclusion
In patients with enlarging tumors, there is
a gradual reduction in ADC values with time. This reduction exceeds the reproducibility
measures of tumor ADC as demonstrated in numerous other tumor types3. Tumor growth largely showed an exponential pattern with acceleration
during the second time interval compared to the first. Once tumors were in a
growth accelerated phase, the reduction in ADC metrics (left shift of the ADC
histogram) correlated with growth rate. The relationship between increase in IQR
as well as more positive skewness during the first time interval and faster growth
during the second time interval suggests that increasing heterogeneity (IQR) and
lower ADC values (more positive skew) result as tumors de-differentiate. This may
well be the first sign of a phase of accelerated growth.Acknowledgements
CRUK and EPSRC support to the Cancer Imaging Centre at ICR and RMH in association with MRC and Department of Health C1060/A10334, C1060/A16464 and NHS funding to the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre and the Clinical Research Facility in Imaging.References
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