In neuroprotection trials for neonatal encephalopathy, the typical clinical outcome measures can only be measured reliably after a period of years. In a multicentre study covering eight sites and recruiting 224 infants, we demonstrate that MRS measures made within two weeks of birth provide quantitative and objective tools for predicting neurodevelopmental abnormalities usually only observed years after the initial injury. In particular, the thalamic concentration of tNAA (N-acetyl aspartate + N-acetyl aspartyl glutamate) has an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.99 (95%CI 0.98–1.00, n=82). Such tools could greatly speed up the next generation of clinical trials.
In drug trials for neonatal encephalopathy, the clinical manifestation of therapeutic effects can only usually be demonstrated through an assessment made several years after an intervention. At this point many confounding environmental factors dilute treatment effects. With early prognostic biomarkers, there is the potential to measure brain injury and treatment effects both acutely and objectively, resulting in shorter, better powered neuroprotection trials.
In this large multicentre prospective study we examined the prognostic accuracy of early MR spectroscopy (obtained <2 weeks after birth) in predicting adverse neurodevelopment assessed by clinical examination at 18-24 months.
We recruited consecutive term and near-term babies with neonatal encephalopathy who had therapeutic hypothermia from eight sites across the UK and USA over 3½ years1. These babies underwent one of two 3T MRS protocols (both examining a 15x15x15mm3 thalamic voxel), and had a neurodevelopmental outcome assessment (Bayley-III) at 18-24 months. Protocol A was a single acquisition at a long TE to quantify the ratio of Thr+Lac/tNAA (Thr=threonine, Lac=lactate, tNAA=NAA+NAAG=N-acetyl aspartate + N-acetyl aspartyl glutamate)2. Protocol B was a series of acquisitions allowing the quantification of the absolute metabolite concentrations, using an internal water reference.
Protocol A:
Protocol B:
Water suppressed:
Water unsuppressed:
Typical in vivo spectra acquired using Protocol B are shown in Figure 1.
All water suppressed spectra were analysed using LCModel (v6.3-1J), with basis sets simulated according to the TE1,TE2 combination employed by each vendor4,5. The methyl peaks of NAA, NAAG, choline (Cho), phosphocreatine (PCr) and creatine (Cr) were separated from other groups in the basis spectra to allow quantification of individual relaxation rates. NAA+NAAG were combined (tNAA), and PCr+Cr were combined (tCr) due to strong covariance during fitting.
Metabolite T1s and T2s were calculated from the fits to the spectra in Protocol B, yielding relaxation corrected signals. Water unsuppressed signals were quantified using a five component HLSVD fit6. The parenchymal water signal was quantified by biexponential fit of the water unsuppressed series7, with a long T2 component (fixed at 500ms) accounting for mobile water. Lac+Thr/tNAA results were transformed by $$$\ln{(1+x)}$$$ to reduce inherent skewness.
Of the 224 infants recruited, 159 had both long TE MRS and Bayley-III data available for analysis. Of these, 82 also had metabolite concentrations. The prognostic accuracy of each of Lac+Thr/tNAA, [tNAA], [tCr] and [Cho] is outlined in Table 1, with the receiver operating characteristic curves and associated scatter plots shown in Figure 2. Calculated metabolite T1s and T2s are displayed in Table 2.
Controlling for gestational age at birth, postnatal age at scan and postnatal age at Bayley-III evaluation, [tNAA] displayed a linear relationship with cognitive composite score (Figure 3), with a 1 mmol/kg higher [tNAA] equating to 9 more points.
Published on behalf of the MARBLE consortium. MARBLE was funded by the NIHR and the NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre. PJL is supported by an NIHR Healthcare Science Doctoral Fellowship (HCS DRF-2014-05-013).