Most MR spectroscopy studies of patients with IDH-mutated gliomas have focused on the sensitivity and specificity of the 2-hydroxyglutarate measures but none that have examined the predictive value of 2HG in comparison to other brain metabolites for treatment outcome. This prospective longitudinal study measured MRS at baseline and two time points after radio/chemotherapy of IDH-mutated gliomas. Results showed that Cho/NAA shows the greatest predictive value followed by Cho/Cr, NAA/Cr, and Lac/Cr ratios but that all three time points 2HG levels were not predictive of outcome demonstrating that it is likely reflective of pathways distinct from membrane proliferation.
11 patients with IDH1 mutated WHO grade II and III gliomas were recruited and consented under local IRB approval. Baseline MRI and MRS were acquired prior to radiotherapy and/or chemotherapy. Figure 1 describes MRS time points. All patients were evaluated every 2 months after beginning treatment and RANO criteria were used to define progression for each patient11. Progression-free survival (PFS) at 2 years posttreatment was the primary endpoint for this study.
All MRI and MRS exams were performed on a clinical 3.0T scanner (Skyra, Siemens) with a 32-channel head coil. MRS was localized on FLAIR images to maximize lesion volume (Fig 2). Short-TE point-resolved single voxel spectroscopy was acquired with TR/TE = 2s/30ms, 3x3x3 cm3 volume (referenced to baseline), 64 averages,nsuppressed water spectrum, and with linewidth <14 Hz. MRS was processed using 30ms custom basis set that included 2HG and other metabolites using LCmodel. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC) was estimated to establish potential metabolite biomarkers of 2-year PFS.
Four patients had relapsed within 2 years. No significant difference was found in WHO grades (P = 0.545, Fisher’s exact test) and age at baseline scan (P = 0.787, Student’s t test) between patients with PFS < 2 years and ≥2 years. Survival analysis showed neither WHO grades (P = 0.208, Kaplan-Meier test) nor age at baseline scan (P = 0.693, univariate Cox regression) were associated with survival in our cohort.
Table 1 shows empirical estimates of the AUC for prediction of 2-year PFS and the corresponding 95% confirence intervals for the metabolite ratios and concentrations at each time point. 2HG/Cr was not predictive of 2-year PFS at any time point (Fig 3a). Mean Glu/Cr ratios in patients with a PFS<2 years were lower than PFS≥2 at all three time points (Fig 3b), and the Glu/Cr at baseline had good performance for prediction of PFS at 2 years. GSH/Cr at 2nd followup showed good predictive value for 2-year PFS, with higher GSH/Cr levels related to worse results. Cho/Naa ratios demonstrated the best discriminatory ability of 2-year PFS. Patient group with a PFS<2 years displayed higher mean values of Cho/Naa at all three time points than PFS≥2 years (Fig 3c) and showed AUCS of 0.92 and greater at all three time points. Similarly, higher Cho/Cr and lower Naa/Cr were observed for patient group with a PFS<2 years compared to their counterpart at all three time points. The Cho/Cr and Naa/Cr ratios at baseline and 2nd followup were predictive of PFS≥2 years, with the AUCs from 0.82 to 0.92. Finally, the patient group with a PFS<2 years showed higher mean Lac/Cr compared to patient group with a PFS≥2 years at all three time points, and Lac/Cr at baseline and 1st followup demonstrated prediction of 2-year PFS.
Metabolic concentrations had similar findings to metabolic ratios but less predictive indicators. In particular, Glu at baseline and Cho at 2nd followup had the highest AUC of 0.88 for prediction, while Naa at baseline, Lac at 1st followup and GSH at 2nd followup had less favorable AUC. 2HG concentrations were not predictive of PFS-2 years at any time point.
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