Thomas Widek1,2, Pia Baumann3, Heiko Merkens1, Thomas Ehammer1, Andreas Petrovic2,4, Isabella Klasinc1,5, Martin Urschler1,2,6, and Eva Scheurer7
1Ludwig Boltzmann Institute Clinical Forensic Imaging, Graz, Austria, 2BioTechMed, Graz, Austria, 3University Center of Legal Medicine Lausanne-Geneva, University Hospital of Lausanne, Switzerland, 4Institute of Medical Engineering, Graz University of Technology, Austria, 5Institute of Forensic Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Austria, 6Institute for Computer Graphics and Vision, Graz University of Technology, Austria, 7Institute of Forensic Medicine, University of Basel - Health Department Basel, Switzerland
Synopsis
High migration rates in the last years put forensic age estimation of
living people at the forefront of forensic research. The established standard
for age estimation uses images acquired with ionizing radiation, therefore radiation-free
alternatives such as MRI are currently of high interest. In this study a CT
based multifactorial approach that combines wisdom teeth and clavicles was
validated with MRI data. The sensitivity to estimate subjects under 18 years of
age as minors with MRI lies above 93%. Our results showed that MR could replace
the CT based multifactorial Approach.
Purpose
The demand for forensic age estimations in living persons increased in
the last years due to the large number of people migrating from countries with
no reliable documentation of the birth date. To date age estimation relies on
the evaluation of the developmental stages of the teeth and the bones using
radiological methods based on ionizing radiation. As the use of ionizing
radiation without medical indication is ethically controversial and not permitted
in many countries, the search for radiation- free alternatives is in the focus
of forensic research.
Recently Bassed et al.1 published a multifactorial approach
using CT images of the wisdom teeth and the medial clavicular epiphysis (cohort
age range: 15-25 years). Their purpose was to provide a model with narrower
confidence intervals for the estimated age range than when the single regions
were used. They provided linear regression formulas to calculate a range with a
lower and upper limit for the age determination.
The aim of this study was to validate this approach using MR imaging.Materials & Methods
150 male subjects (age 13.01-24.98y, mean 19.9±3.4y) were investigated
for this study. MRI of the clavicles and the teeth using a head/neck coil for
the clavicles and a multipurpose coil (Noras) for the teeth was performed at 3T
(TimTrio, Siemens). The following sequences were applied: a) clavicles: 2D T2wTSE
(TR/TE 2905/65ms, 1x1x2mm³), 3D T1wVIBE FS (TR/TE 9.77/3.72ms, 0.9x0.9x0.9mm³)
and b) teeth:
3D PDwTSE FS (TR/TE 172/10ms,
0.6x0.6x1.0mm³), 3D T2wCISS (TR/TE 5.41/2.33ms, 0.6x0.6x1.0mm³). Evaluation of the lower third molars and the clavicles were performed by
a dentist and a radiologist, respectively, according to defined stages2,3.
Calculation of the lower and the upper limit and the predicted age according to
the regression formulas provided by Bassed et al.1 was done. (Tab.1)
The validation of this approach was investigated using descriptive
statistics and calculation of sensitivity and specificity for determining the legally
important age limit of 18 years. Additionally, the difference of the mean estimated
age of the single regions based on available reference values4,5 and the difference of the predicted values of
the multifactorial approach have been compared to the chronological age.
Results
Fig.1 shows representative MR images of the two body regions.
The chronological age of 66% of the subjects was within the calculated multifactorial
age range (Fig.2). 20.7% were under the lower age limit and 13.3% were above
the upper limit. Mainly subjects aged 13 and 14y lay below the limits (16 of
31). Excluding these subjects raised the overall rate to 73.5%. All subjects who
were above the upper limit were adults over 18y with a calculated lower age limit
above 18y. Concerning the age range regarding the legally important age limit of
18y, 44 of 47 subjects with a chronological age <18y had a calculated lower age
limit < 18y corresponding to a sensitivity to estimate a minor subject to be
<18y of 93.6%. The specificity was 86.4%, i.e. 86 of 103 adults were correctly
classified as adults.
The comparison of the chronological age with the predicted age showed a
mean difference of 0.08y with a standard deviation of ±1.78y. The single
regions displayed a mean difference of 0.58y (±1.91y) and 2.11y (±4.32y). (Fig.3)Discussion
The evaluation showed that only two thirds of the subjects were within
the calculated range. Especially subjects under 15 years were below the lower
range limit. This could be explained by the fact that Bassed et al.1 used a
cohort from 15 to 25 years. However, the legally important question is if the
estimated lower limit for minors lies under 18 years. Regarding this question
the approach showed good results with a high sensitivity. Also specificity
which indicates if an adult is correctly estimated as adult, showed a
reasonable result, particularly when considering that an underestimation is not
a disadvantage for examined persons.
The multifactorial approach displayed a good distribution regarding the
estimated age and on average no over- or underestimation. In contrast using
single regions resulted on average in overestimation of up to 2 years and a considerably
higher standard deviation.
Results could potentially be further improved by additionally dividing
the clavicular stages as proposed by Kellinghaus et al.6 and by
incorporating the left hand into the regression model.
Conclusion
The validation of Bassed’s multifactorial regression model approach
using MRI data showed good results, especially regarding the differentiation
between minors and adults. The age range is considerably narrower than for
single regions. To justify the use of this approach in routine a larger cohort
should be investigated.Acknowledgements
No acknowledgement found.References
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