Prostate tumor growth in patients on active surveillance: is a change in the apparent diffusion coefficient an indicator of an accelerated growth rate?
Veronica A Morgan1,2, Chris Parker3, and Nandita M deSouza1,2

1MRI, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom, 2Clinical Magnetic Resonance Unit, Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom, 3Urology, Royal Marsden Hospital, Sutton, United Kingdom

Synopsis

We evaluated relationship between tumor doubling time and ADC in prostate cancer patients managed by active surveillance. Tumor (defined as a low signal-intensity T2-W region showing restricted diffusion and a Type3 contrast-enhanced curve within a biopsy positive octant) volume was calculated at 3 time-points ~12-24mths apart in 22 patients by drawing regions-of-interest on the T2-W images. Mean tumor ADC was estimated centrally through the tumor. Five of 22 tumors (22.7%) showed growth acceleration after the second time-point. A 10% decrease in ADC identified 3 of 4 tumors and missed 1 of 22 cases with a doubling time of <12 months.

Introduction

In low risk prostate cancer (Gleason 3+3, PSA < 10ng/L), patients are often managed by active surveillance [1]. This involves an initial biopsy and an mpMRI scan, the latter being repeated at annual or 2-yearly intervals determined by PSA rise. If it were possible to predict tumor growth rate or identify factors indicative of accelerated growth, it would be possible to tailor the frequency of the scanning schedule and plan a treatment strategy in advance. The purpose of this pilot study was to correlate tumor doubling time (calculated from change in tumor volume on MRI done at 3 time points at least 1 year apart) with ADC. The change in doubling time was also correlated with the change in ADC in order to interrogate the latter as a biomarker of accelerated growth.

Methods

Twenty-eight patients aged 52 to 82y (mean 67 +/- 6.09) were scanned three times on a 3T Philips Achieva using an endorectal coil. T2-W images were obtained in 3 orthogonal planes to the prostate with the following parameters (FSE, TR 2500ms, TE 110ms, FOV 14 cm, slice thickness 2.2 – 2.5 mm, 0.1mm gap, matrix 220x184, extrapolated to 256x256. In addition a ZOOM-EPI sequence (single shot EPI, TR 3544ms, TE 51ms, FOV 100 cm, slice thickness 2.2 – 2.5mm, matrix 80x79, extrapolated to 128x128) was used to obtain transverse slices that matched the T2-W images. ADC maps were calculated using scanner software and a monoexponential fit to the data. T2-W and ADC maps at all time points (TP) were viewed together and the dominant intraprostatic lesion (DIL) identified on the third time-point images as the largest hypointense lesion on T2-W imaging with corresponding restricted diffusion and a Type 2 or 3 pattern of contrast uptake [2] in an octant biopsy positive for cancer. Regions-of-interest were drawn around the DIL on every slice of the T2-W images and on a single slice of the ADC map containing the largest lesion area at each time-point (Figure 1). Tumor volumes calculated at each time point (from total tumor area X slice thickness) were used to calculate doubling times (DT); log doubling times were correlated with ADC and a change in log doubling time with a change in ADC using a Pearson’s correlation coefficient.

Results

Six patients had no visible tumor on mpMRI and were excluded from the final analysis. In the other 22, tumor volume was 220 +/- 212 mm3 at baseline (TP1), 312 +/- 294 mm3 at TP2 (16.1+/-5.7 months later) and 462 +/- 499 mm3 at TP3 (17.3 +/- 5.8 months from TP2, Figure 2). Five of 22 tumors (22.7%) showed acceleration in growth after TP2. However, differences in DT and log DT between the first two and second two time-points for the cohort were not significant (p=0.32 and 0.94 respectively, paired t-test). ADC, PSA and their changes between TPs and DT’s are given in Table 1. Log tumor DT at each stage and overall did not significantly correlate with ADC (ADCTP1: r2 = -0.11, ADCTP2: r2 = 0.27, Figure 3) or with PSA (r2=-0.3). Although change in log DT overall (TP3-TP1) did not correlate with a change in ADC (r2=0.31, p<0.2, Figure 4), a threshold of a 10% decrease in ADC identified 3 of 4 tumors and missed 1 of 22 cases with a doubling time of <12 months.

Discussion and Conclusion:

There is a wide variation of doubling time of tumors managed by active surveillance. A change in ADC was indicative of tumors with a shorter DT, with a threshold of a 10% reduction in ADC (which is greater that the repeatability of the measurement in multicentre studies, [3]) picking up 75% and missing 5% of cases with a DT of less than 12 months. Investigation of ADC as a biomarker of accelerated growth in prostate cancer warrants validation in a larger cohort of patients managed by active surveillance.

Acknowledgements

CRUK and EPSRC support to the Cancer Imaging Centre at ICR and RMH in association with MRC and Department of Health C1060/A10334, C1060/A16464 and NHS funding to the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre and the Clinical Research Facility in Imaging."

References

1. Selvadurai ED, Singhera M, Thomas K, Mohammed K, Woode-Amissah R, Horwich A, Huddart RA, Dearnaley DP, Parker CC. Medium-term outcomes of active surveillance for localised prostate cancer. Eur Urol. 2013 Dec;64(6):981-7. doi: 10.1016/j.eururo.2013.02.020. Epub 2013 Feb 18.

2. Wang R, Wang H, Zhao C, Hu J, Jiang Y, Tong Y, Liu T, Huang R, Wang X. Evaluation of Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Detection and Prediction of Prostate Cancer. PLoS One. 2015 Jun 12;10(6):e0130207. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0130207.

3. Malyarenko D, Galbán CJ, Londy FJ, Meyer CR, Johnson TD, Rehemtulla A, Ross BD, Chenevert TL. Multi-system repeatability and reproducibility of apparent diffusion coefficient measurement using an ice-water phantom. J Magn Reson Imaging. 2013 May;37(5):1238-46. doi: 10.1002/jmri.23825. Epub 2012 Sep 28.

Figures

Table 1: Tumor growth and ADC characteristics

Figure 1: T2-W and corresponding ADC map through a prostate tumor at baseline (time-point 1, top row), after 11 months at time-point 2 (middle row) and after a further 12 months at time-point 3 (bottom row) showing increase in tumor volume with time.

Figure 2: Increase in tumour volume at 16 and 17 month intervals respectively shows that the majority of tumours grew at a steady rate. Five of 22 tumours (22.7%) showed acceleration in growth after TP2.

Figure 3: Relationship between doubling time and baseline ADC shows no significant relationship between ADC and doubling time.

Figure 4: Relationship between doubling time and percentage change in ADC between TP3 and baseline shows that a reduction in ADC is associated with a shorter doubling time.



Proc. Intl. Soc. Mag. Reson. Med. 24 (2016)
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